Numbers
Not
Feelings.
Four proprietary frameworks built from the ground up. No hot takes. No narrative chasing. Just the data doing the talking.
2,800+
Subscribers
30
Teams covered
4
Proprietary models
2023
Founded
About
Pete Dwyer,
The Baseball Nerd

The Baseball Nerd is an independent baseball media brand covering all 30 MLB teams and the minor league system, built on the belief that data tells a better story than conventional wisdom ever will.

Founded in 2023 and grown to more than 2,800 subscribers, The Baseball Nerd produces original analytics work, long-form features, game coverage, and a weekly podcast. The work is built on four proprietary scoring frameworks developed in-house.

SPARK Score
Statistical Performance Acceleration and Rising Kinetics. Identifies breakout candidates aged 20-27 across five components. Max 80 points.
Read the methodology →
FADE Score
Forecasting Athletic Decline and Erosion. Flags regression risk for players 28 and older before the ERA or batting average confirms it.
Read the methodology →
Bases Gained
Counts every direct offensive action, penalizes double plays and caught stealing, and adjusts for defensive position using 10 years of qualified-season data.
Read the methodology →
ABS IQ+
Scores how intelligently every MLB team and player uses the 2026 Automated Ball-Strike challenge system. Scaled to 100 as league average.
Read the methodology →

Pete Dwyer is a credentialed baseball writer, IBWAA member, and the author of a published baseball scorekeeping book available through Amazon. He is an active contributor to FanSided and Painting Corners Baseball, with press credentials through the Frisco RoughRiders.

The Baseball Nerd Analytics Suite provides subscribers with all four proprietary frameworks, original research tools, and a growing library of datasets and workbooks available in the Data Vault.

This is independent media. No corporate backing, no editorial filters, no agenda beyond getting it right.

Full MLB and MiLB coverage, all 30 teams
Credentialed writer, IBWAA member
SPARK, FADE, Bases Gained, and ABS IQ+ frameworks
The Division Line — weekly MLB podcast, Mondays
Published scorekeeping book and how-to guide
Sunday Stories: baseball history and long-form features
IBWAA FanSided Painting Corners Baseball Amazon
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